Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 18 April 2024

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So we got a little ahead of ourselves.. This may be best illustrated in Commodities, which saw their largest monthly allocation increase since 2006 (plot for the Big Short comes to my mind) – a rather startling reminder of how aggressively underweight some areas of the market remain when investors rush to balance their books (see visuals on the Copper & SXPP Index charts, which should include the caption “fomo”)…. And, with Powell finally throwing in his towel for June rate cuts Tuesday (partia…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 17 April 2024

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Yields this, dollar that but today we got to ignore them (well as much as possible) and look under the hoods of some of Europe’s biggest companies. Far more interesting than what ECB speakers have to say about rate cuts and inflation targets as this was a look at how these big heavyweights have fared in the first quarter with yields elevated and the consumer surely coming under a pressure!? LVMH bounced 3% after results that were maybe not as bad as feared post some recent moves in the likes of…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 16 April 2024

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The Snapshot doesn’t dwell on the weather too much for obvious reasons but last night was ridiculous – 4 seasons not in a day, but in an hour as I was caught in Hail, sun and then rain on my way home. The one we’re most concerned about is certainly the Winds that have been changing the past few days in Equities and we were certainly a little rocked by the moves after we left for the day. The Stoxx 600 opened down over >1% with a broad based risk off stroke of the brush but never really felt lik…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 15 April 2024

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A bit of a spring cleanout in the Morrison household at the weekend and the outcome was despite the amount of arguments it creates it is a very therapeutic process. It’s an interesting experiment so we created a rule to make things simpler: it didn’t matter about how much it cost, if we hadn’t worn/used in a year and don’t envisage that changing in the next year it was for recycling/charity shop. Fair is Fair. Now I have no experience of investment management but this felt a little bit like Equ…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 11 April 2024

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Another choppy day in European Equity markets without learning a huge amount as the Stoxx 600 fluctuated between small gains and losses but ended lower on the day to the tune of 44bps. A macro sort of day following yesterday’s large moves within the FX and Fixed Income worlds and it still feels like this Equity market is playing second fiddle. There was a small pick up in volumes today but post yesterday’s shifts and today’s ECB meeting you would have probably expected activity to be higher.. T…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 10 April 2024

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A gorgeous day in London today and there was a definite temptation to spend the morning sat outside a coffee shop, reading the paper and watching the world go by – enjoy the simpler things in life – It was that kind of morning. No real reason to log on until 1 and get primed and ready for the CPI print which did indeed go on to dictate the day. March CPI was hot across the board though the breakdown was actually quite muted – Energy up 1.1% on the month vs 2.3% in February; Shelter was still 0…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 9 April 2024

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The perfect storm it seemed today – a very thin Tuesday trading day pre U.S. CPI tomorrow felt on the cards with very little catching the eye overnight but certainly hints that there were a few things happening under the surface. We received a lot of questions and incoming on the fairly aggressive move lower in the European defence space from early in the session. Bear in mind that this sub-sector has been one of, if not the, best sectors in Europe for the past couple of years but the combined…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 8 April 2024

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It’s a very big week and all focus on the U.S. as we get to see how some of the biggest names have faired through the start of the year. All attention on if they live up to high expectations, especially the top names and market leaders but any disappointment could be felt far and wide. Maybe there is a surprise or two to come (there always is after all) but you’ve got to think Scottie Scheffler is a warm favourite for good reason for the Masters which kicks off on Thursday. A Green Jacket the p…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 4 April 2024

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I’ve been warned about the ‘terrible two’s’ for nearly a year but we’re finally there in the Morrison Household. Sleep deprivation, agitated by simple things, not good at sitting still and volatile mood swings – maybe the terrible two’s are a natural step on the path to being a Sales-Trader. This certainly feels a time to snooze that alarm and catch up on a bit of sleep right now as the morning news remains on the light side and a quick peak at the earnings calendar shows that JPM kick us off ‘…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 3 April 2024

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There is definitely still a sense that there are lots of people away from their desks and taking advantage of the shortened week here in Europe. The plus side is it is already Wednesday, it is lighter in the evening, and it’s nearly the weekend but those looking for some direction today were left wondering as the Stoxx 600 ended the day +33bps, recovering a little of yesterday’s loss but without much fanfare. Lots of Fed Speakers this week and maybe the market is waiting to hear more from them…