The View from 5th Avenue

The View at Two – 28 May 2020

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One Moment in Time…We are saying hello to 12-week highs as the S&P fast approaches 3100 and it feels as if the past 3 months of stock destruction will be in the rearview mirror stat. Looking at the chart below, it would seem the S&P is back on the straight and narrow path to the moon (thank you, Fed’ers). One thing to keep an eye on is the leaderboard today, though. Healthcare, Telecom, Chemicals and Utes at the top half of the screen, XAU up again and volumes pretty eh, don’t exactly scream confidence, but there are definitely other signs of life (see below)…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View at Two – 27 May 2020

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Like Chumbawamba… The S&P keeps getting knocked back below 3,000 only to get up again. With the headlines on reopening, vaccines, and stimulus all continuing to move in the right direction, it’s felt inevitable the index would recapture its 200-DMA and the psychological milestone, yet the task has proven to be a pesky one. US-China barbs are partially to blame, as well as Tech having gone from poster child to problem child, with NYFANG -1.6% (funny how quick some are to label the sector a “drag” after all it’s done to contribute to the rebound!). Value still enjoying the spotlight suggests optimism around the path of the economy remains – the release of the Fed Beige Book later this afternoon should add some more color to the question as well.

Two Fifteen

Two Fifteen – 27 May 2020

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With summer in full swing before the first official day even kicks in and lockdowns/travel restrictions easing every day, it is almost inevitable not to be more positive about life. Ryanair confirmed this morning that they have seen a surge in bookings since the weekend and expect passenger levels to be back at 2019 levels by summer next year. By the sound of things, people are still willing to travel so hopefully we can all have a cheeky summer escape at some point.

Midweek Charts

Midweek Charts – 29 April 2020

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3 Midweek Charts – NDX and Russell relatives, US and European momentum, FTSE MIB, Euro Smalls, CBI business optimism, piglet prices and Avocado Bitcoin. And some tweets of note. Nasdaq 100 relative and Russell 2000 relative – some hints of mean reversion here, with a small bottom pattern on the RTY/SPX chart. Too early to […]