Two Fifteen

Two Fifteen – 21 October 2020

Europe is in the red today as the scent of rotation hangs in the air. We've seen a move into cyclicals /value/post-covid recovery names funded by profit taking in recent winners. It is now four days in a row that Cyclicals have outperformed Defensives, making a new 6m relative high. Despite the sea of red, there lacks a sense of panic given volumes have remained light. Keep an eye on the VIX – testing 30 today (key resistance we are watching, 30.33 last), next target at 40. Support levels to watch include 5778 on the FTSE 100, 12341 / 12253 on the DAX and 6500 on the IBEX. Also note a weaker dollar is helping Basic Resources stocks and the sector is the only one trading up (even if just about, +0.2%).

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