Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 20 March 2023

Posted on

Happy belated Mothers’ day to all those mothers out there – you all are amazing! It did mean a little bit more admin for me this year as Marlowe wasn’t quite up to sorting out her present for her mum just yet. Flowers always a winner no matter the occasion and for anyone looking for a nice restaurant we went to Manteca, which was delicious and importantly didn’t break the bank. The breaking of the banks something the market has been focussing on and is now a theme that has been playing out over…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 17 March 2023

Posted on

As humans, we may have a natural bias/conditioning to want to end things on a good note.. And while today was not exactly that, we are going to attempt to keep things positive and point out the fact that on the week we ended up over +1.43%, so… not that bad! And while St Patrick’s Day is known for its celebration of green, March 17, 2023 equity markets did not quite get the memo as they fell decidedly lower into the red and instead passed the shamrock over to the safer FICC counterparts. Gold…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 16 March 2023

Posted on

Don’t call it a bailout! They are simply expressing their confidence in the country’s banking system. At least that’s how America’s largest banks are attempting to swing the news that they are depositing a total of 30 billion uninsured USD into First Republic Bank. US averages started the day off a little shaky as the Swiss National Bank made a 50 billion credit line available to Credit Suisse to help support the bank and calm financial markets. News hit in the late morning that JP Morgan and M…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 16 March 2023

Posted on

A tumultuous few days in both the markets and the Morrison household as train and tube strikes caused significant Childcare disruption. So safe to say I was very pleased with a few of the snippets in the UK Budget, especially the 30 hours Childcare support a week for 1 and 2 year olds and also hopes that more strikes may be avoided with potential pay deals on the horizon. The moves have been substantial and swift this week and at times it’s hard to catch your breath though I would say there is…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 15 March 2023

Posted on

The financial mess that has been encircling the US went international today with fresh concerns over Credit Suisse. With the Stoxx Banks index closing down 6.9% (and Credit Suisse -24%/ CS ADR +18.5% vs local close though), the early part of the US session was impacted negatively, culminating just after the EU close. The rush to safety continues evidenced by the sovereigns, as 10-yr Bunds moved from 2.45% to 2.12% intraday. And the US 10-yr had a similar trajectory, closing at 3.47% vs yesterda…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 14 March 2023

Posted on

And round and round we go… If we lacked conviction prior, where does that put us now?! Markets were volatile, jittery, and choppy today- as expected. After initially swinging firmly back into the positive to start, we then faded off the highs into the afternoon on news that a Russian fighter jet collided with a US drone over the Black Sea. Ultimately, we were able to regain steam in the final hour and rally back to just shy of session highs into the close. Regardless, the wind was blowing…

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 14 March 2023

Posted on

Well I think we were due a day of relative calm having had 3 of the livelier sessions of recent memory and though there were certainly early wobbles we managed to see those off and rally into the afternoon. The Stoxx 600 closed up +1.5%, reversing some of the losses from the past two days but the move certainly looked more like a rebound than anything with serious conviction. I’m not sure the market is any closer to working out whether the fallout from the SVB saga could spread to other parts,…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 13 March 2023

Posted on

What is it about March that seems to keep bringing balance sheet-changing events to rattle market participants? In March 2020, Covid shocked the world, as well as major indices. In March 2021, the Archegos scandal uprooted a multitude of major players. And now we have the collapse of SVB, which will surely have implications that spread farther and wider than we can currently predict. If the financial crisis had started in March, we would seriously have some questions.

Daily Snapshot

Daily Snapshot – 13 March 2023

Posted on

No way of getting away from it there is a lot going on right now isn’t there? It would be a lie to say we’re on top of it all, we try of course, but there are new angles, stories and moves popping up everywhere and things are moving at such an aggressive pace I have no doubt the Snapshot will be out of date by the time it is read/deleted. Cracks in system have been appearing and growing over the past 3 days and it felt like today was a day when risk managers, unaware of where this could lead, a…

The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 10 March 2023

Posted on

The biggest US banking failure since the 2008 financial crisis. Following the failure of Silvergate Financial earlier this week, SVB Financial was taken over today by the FDIC. Making it the second largest US bank failure in history behind Washington Mutual and the first failure since October 2020. After announcing a sale of securities valuing over $20b and a share offering to raise $2b on Thursday to support finances, depositors began requesting large outflows to limit their exposure to the ba…