The View from 5th Avenue

The View from 5th Avenue – 23 August 2024

The expectation going into today’s Jackson Hole Symposium was as high as the Tetons. With 100bps of cuts being priced by the markets (over the 3 remaining meetings), Powell did not disappoint as he started his press conference with “The time has come for policy to adjust”. An immediate spike in equites and treasuries (and a drop in the Dollar) ensued, as the markets cheered the expected result. While the question of how much in September remains, the CME data shows a 34% chance of a 50bps cut (…

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