The View from 5th Avenue

The View at Two – 12 June 2020

BTD? If you just look at the final tally for yesterday’s selloff, it was an ugly outcome.  But the intraday charts showed the broader equity indexes (conversely for bonds) trading in a diagonal top left/ bottom right pattern.  Hence, it appeared to be a systematic decrease in risk (because of Powell’s remarks?).  The trading trend has been to buy the dip, and today’s early action was exactly that.  The S&P opened +2.7%, but the early support has diminished and stocks have retreated steadily all day.  Value is outperforming, but more sectors are turning red (see above).  The S&P 500 200 day moving average is 3013, and the index is just below that level now.  Could the markets see a shift from the recent BTD trend?

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